|
MPR |
Kjell Inge
Malde, Director/Editor |
|
Web: |
http://www.cv-helios.net |
|
Hunsteinstien
42A, N-4083 Hundvaag NORWAY |
Email: |
cvhelios@gmail.com |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Volume 44 Number 1 MPR no. 510 January 2024 ISSN 2535-3780 |
CV-Helios Network |
Monthly Preliminary Report for January 2024 |
Solar Cycle 25: Month no. 50 |
Report id.: cv2401 - CV-report no.: 510 |
Memno. |
Name |
Country |
CV |
Obs |
K |
Obs. Tot. |
CV-001 |
KJELL INGE MALDE |
NORWAY |
137,5 |
19 |
1,043 |
9361 |
CV-010 |
FRANKY DUBOIS |
BELGIUM |
101,8 |
18 |
0,921 |
9747 |
CV-019 |
ELMAR JUNKER |
GERMANY |
138,7 |
3 |
1,190 |
3865 |
CV-023 |
HARTMUT
BRETSCHNEIDER |
GERMANY |
52,8 |
12 |
0,490 |
5967 |
CV-040 |
ROBERTO
BATTAIOLA |
ITALY |
106,3 |
3 |
0,968 |
2157 |
CV-041 |
JENS ROTHERMEL |
GERMANY |
149,1 |
8 |
1,225 |
1455 |
CV-068 |
SVEN OVE THIMM |
DENMARK |
63,6 |
7 |
0,510 |
4317 |
CV-077 |
ANDREW JOHNSTON |
UNITED KINGDOM |
97,0 |
10 |
0,818 |
3711 |
CV-080 |
JAN JANSSENS |
BELGIUM |
77,0 |
1 |
1,087 |
1231 |
CV-082 |
PIOTR URBANSKI |
POLAND |
150,0 |
6 |
1,366 |
5583 |
CV-086 |
TOS POLAND |
POLAND |
123,2 |
31 |
1,047 |
8814 |
CV-091 |
GRZEGORZ DALEK |
POLAND |
89,1 |
9 |
0,756 |
4811 |
CV-102 |
PAULO ROBERTO
MOSER |
BRAZIL |
105,5 |
25 |
0,859 |
3179 |
CV-105 |
ALEXEY RYBACK |
RUSSIA |
112,0 |
8 |
1,039 |
3521 |
CV-122 |
VLASTISLAV FEIK |
CZECH REPUBLIC |
103,0 |
5 |
1,018 |
3215 |
CV-135 |
GEMA ARAUJO |
SPAIN |
153,2 |
30 |
1,323 |
7617 |
CV-136 |
FAUSTINO GARCIA |
SPAIN |
80,8 |
12 |
0,701 |
4024 |
CV-139 |
JAVIER ALONSO |
SPAIN |
92,3 |
9 |
0,963 |
4185 |
CV-151 |
JEFFREY CARELS |
BELGIUM |
61,2 |
6 |
0,795 |
3285 |
CV-171 |
WALTER JOSE
MALUF |
BRAZIL |
184,8 |
19 |
1,581 |
3092 |
CV-204 |
STEFAN MEISTER |
SWITZERLAND |
131,0 |
2 |
1,288 |
830 |
CV-207 |
ONDREJOV OBS.
(AI CAS) |
CZECH REPUBLIC |
152,2 |
13 |
1,248 |
3865 |
CV-208 |
JOHAN NEYS |
BELGIUM |
99,6 |
5 |
1,127 |
784 |
CV-214 |
IGOR GRAGEDA
MENDEZ |
BOLIVIA |
98,1 |
25 |
0,832 |
1391 |
CV-215 |
ARNAUD MENGUS |
FRANCE |
101,0 |
5 |
0,909 |
376 |
CV-219 |
KANDILLI
OBSERVATORY |
TURKEY |
107,4 |
15 |
0,879 |
1038 |
CV-220 |
MICHEL FRANGEUL |
FRANCE |
85,1 |
9 |
0,769 |
197 |
CV-222 |
MILENA NIEMCZYK |
POLAND |
104,8 |
4 |
0,962 |
90 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Totals |
Observers |
Days |
CV |
No |
K |
|
28 |
31 |
109,22 |
319 |
0,990 |
|
Month Results for January 2024 |
Date |
CV |
Obsrvrs |
Regions
6 rot. |
CV-USAF
6-rot.
6 rot. |
CV-6 rot. |
CV-13 rot. |
1 |
53,22 |
9 |
7,23 |
98,71 |
104,66 |
112,20 |
2 |
77,63 |
8 |
7,21 |
97,75 |
103,88 |
112,05 |
3 |
61,20 |
5 |
7,20 |
96,99 |
103,34 |
111,86 |
4 |
100,33 |
12 |
7,16 |
96,40 |
103,00 |
111,67 |
5 |
128,80 |
10 |
7,15 |
96,15 |
102,69 |
111,38 |
6 |
135,44 |
9 |
7,13 |
96,30 |
102,45 |
111,09 |
7 |
134,67 |
9 |
7,13 |
96,46 |
102,33 |
110,85 |
8 |
151,83 |
12 |
7,12 |
96,60 |
102,35 |
110,70 |
9 |
166,00 |
14 |
7,13 |
96,54 |
102,41 |
110,64 |
10 |
176,36 |
11 |
7,13 |
96,46 |
102,53 |
110,62 |
11 |
132,55 |
11 |
7,12 |
95,92 |
102,32 |
110,56 |
12 |
173,80 |
5 |
7,13 |
96,14 |
102,11 |
110,56 |
13 |
181,17 |
6 |
7,16 |
96,28 |
101,96 |
110,64 |
14 |
136,00 |
10 |
7,18 |
96,34 |
101,69 |
110,66 |
15 |
145,13 |
8 |
7,18 |
95,99 |
101,55 |
110,68 |
16 |
166,13 |
8 |
7,21 |
95,91 |
101,60 |
110,86 |
17 |
140,67 |
9 |
7,23 |
95,82 |
101,60 |
111,03 |
18 |
129,22 |
9 |
7,23 |
95,80 |
101,73 |
111,20 |
19 |
134,77 |
13 |
7,24 |
95,83 |
102,05 |
111,38 |
20 |
120,31 |
15 |
7,25 |
95,79 |
102,42 |
111,53 |
21 |
146,78 |
8 |
7,27 |
96,26 |
102,91 |
111,70 |
22 |
149,70 |
10 |
7,27 |
96,69 |
103,33 |
111,92 |
23 |
124,56 |
9 |
7,29 |
97,11 |
103,79 |
112,08 |
24 |
108,67 |
9 |
7,30 |
97,34 |
104,09 |
112,20 |
25 |
92,73 |
11 |
7,30 |
97,41 |
104,00 |
112,26 |
26 |
91,17 |
11 |
7,29 |
97,58 |
103,83 |
112,40 |
27 |
70,81 |
16 |
7,26 |
97,16 |
103,27 |
112,38 |
28 |
62,14 |
14 |
7,23 |
96,94 |
102,81 |
112,32 |
29 |
52,67 |
11 |
7,20 |
96,52 |
102,43 |
112,15 |
30 |
52,20 |
15 |
7,18 |
96,27 |
102,06 |
111,82 |
31 |
75,25 |
8 |
7,16 |
96,29 |
102,28 |
111,58 |
Totals/ |
3,96 |
27,3 |
0,97 |
4,83 |
102,69 |
111,45 |
Avrgs |
CV and
CV observers |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
CV-13
rot. per Jan 2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
:Product:
Weekly Highlights and Forecasts |
|
|
|
|
Highlights of
Solar and Geomagnetic Activity |
|
|
|
|
|
05 - 11
February 2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Solar activity
ranged from moderate levels to very high levels this |
Click on link below |
|
|
period. In
total, one X-class flare and 18 M-class flares and were |
to read the full weekly |
|
observed. The
largest event was an X3.3 flare at 09/1314 UTC from |
http://services.swpc.noaa.gov/text/weekly.txt |
Region 3575
(S36, L=177, class/area=Dkc/270 on 05 Feb), which was |
|
|
|
|
beyond the SW
limb at the time of the event. Region 3576 (S16, |
|
|
|
|
L=057,
class/area=Fkc/740 on 11 Feb) was the largest and most active |
|
|
|
|
region this
week and produced the bulk of the M-class flare |
|
|
|
|
activity; most
notable was an M9.0 flare at 10/2307 UTC which |
|
|
|
|
produced an
Earth-directed CME expected to arrive late on 12 |
|
|
|
|
Feb/early on 13
Feb. Other notable activity included a filament |
|
|
|
|
eruption
centered near S37W02 at 08/2000 UTC which resulted in an |
|
|
|
|
Earth-directed
CME expected to arrive on 12 Feb. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
The greater
than 10 MeV proton flux reached S1-S2 (Minor-Moderate) |
|
|
|
|
levels
following the X3.3 flare at 09/1314 UTC. The solar radiation |
|
|
|
|
storm began at
09/1530 UTC, reached a peak flux of 187 pfu at |
|
|
|
|
09/2355 UTC,
and decreased below event threshold at 11/1805 UTC. The |
|
|
|
|
Solar activity
is expected to be low to moderate throughout the |
|
|
|
|
period with
M-class flares likely and a chance for X-class flares. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
No proton
events are expected at geosynchronous orbit, barring |
|
|
|
|
significant
flare activity. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Progress Solar
Cycle no. 25 |
|
|
|
|
|
Graphic show CV-Int. levels
cycle 25 compared to same stage cycles 21-24 per end Jan 2024.
|
|
Highlights
January 2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
The solar
activity in January 2024 have slowly come out of pause with many regions,
though |
|
|
the solar
activity is rising slowly and many regions have been of very modest sizes. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
The 6 rot.
average was 103,4 CV-units by end January, |
|
|
|
|
but the 13 rot.
average was 111,1 CV-units by last month end. |
|
|
|
|
Report-end this
MPR 510 for January show we may still approach cycle 23, though 18% behind. |
|
A total of 831
regions this cycle per 14 February 2024 (410 regions North and 421 regions
South). |
|
|
At the same
time solar cycle 24 produced 633 regions .(264 north and 369 south) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
It now seems
that prediction mix of 6 and 13 rotation averages may indicate maximum
14.08.2025 (+/- 2 rot.) |
|
as a time of
maximum for the CV-I (though it may happen a bit earlier). Updates will come. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
We reckon there
have passed 1543 days of the new cycle by this issue on 15 Feb 2024. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
There is a
continued production of smaller regions but soon expect more active periods! |
|
|
|
The appearance
of region 3576 and heavy flare activity show some very active periods to
come! |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Solar Flux
onset occurred 30 September 2022. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Please remember
you are always welcome to contribute with drawings and photos! |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Need for new members!
Do you know any amateur solar astronomer that know or like to learn
classifications? |
Then please pass
the information about CV-Helios Network's work and contact cvhelios@gmail.com |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Supergroups-catalogue: |
|
|
|
|
|
CV-Helios
Network is currently working on a catalogue with drawings or photos |
|
|
|
of the,
currently 858, sunspot regions that exceeded 1000 mvh |
|
|
|
|
in the period of
RGO-USAF tables, that is, from 1874 to the current year. |
|
|
|
Drawings or
photos will be collected from the archives of wellknown different
observatories! |
|
|
Hopefully this
catalogue will be published 2024 or 2025!
Stay tuned! |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pictures from
last month - Observer contributions, etc. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Highlights January 2024 |
|
|
|
Photo courtesy: Thanks to CV-222 Milena Niemczyk, Poland |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Click on each of
the images to see a larger view. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Photos above
from left January 20, 21 and 26 in 2024. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
All members are free to participate in sending
in photos! |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Awards this
month |
|
|
|
|
0 |
none |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
New members: |
|
Welcome to: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
CV-223 ERROL
SIMPSON, UNITED KINGDOM (21 Jan. 2024) |
Welcome to our New Member! |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
We are
now 51 active members (last 12 mo.) |
Sunspot regions
of January 2024 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Region,First
date,days,Lat.,Long.,Rot.,Max class,Max CV |
Region,First
date,days,Lat.,Long.,Rot.,Max class,Max CV |
3536,31.12.23,12,6,152,2278,EKO,44 |
|
3553,13.01.24,10,5,348,2280,HAX,7 |
|
3537,02.01.24,9,18,156,2278,CAO,8 |
|
3554,15.01.24,5,7,338,2280,HSX,10 |
|
3538,03.01.24,8,22,176,2278,CAO,8 |
|
3555,15.01.24,12,-13,321,2280,DSO,25 |
|
3539,05.01.24,10,11,137,2278,DAI,22 |
|
3556,16.01.24,10,16,313,2280,HAX,7 |
|
3540,05.01.24,12,-18,93,2278,DKI,46 |
|
3557,16.01.24,1,-13,57,2280,HAX,7 |
|
3541,05.01.24,12,-21,92,2278,CAO,8 |
|
3558,16.01.24,2,-11,83,2278,CAO,8 |
|
3542,05.01.24,5,18,150,2278,DAO,19 |
|
3559,18.01.24,12,27,289,0,FKI,48 |
|
3543,07.01.24,5,-6,157,2278,DSO,25 |
|
3560,18.01.24,12,-12,291,0,DAI,22 |
|
3544,07.01.24,7,18,78,2278,HAX,7 |
|
3561,19.01.24,8,-16,327,0,DAC,31 |
|
3545,09.01.24,13,-6,41,2278,CKO,38 |
|
3562,20.01.24,7,-8,340,0,DAO,19 |
|
3546,09.01.24,6,-24,60,2278,CAO,8 |
|
3563,26.01.24,3,-6,214,0,BXO,2 |
|
3547,11.01.24,4,19,65,2278,CSO,11 |
|
3564,28.01.24,3,-12,169,0,CAO,8 |
|
3548,12.01.24,6,11,29,2278,DSO,25 |
|
3565,28.01.24,11,6,155,0,DAO,19 |
|
3549,12.01.24,12,-20,6,2278,CHI,42 |
|
3566,30.01.24,3,-13,254,0,DAO,19 |
|
3550,12.01.24,4,-18,47,2278,BXO,2 |
|
3568,30.01.24,2,-10,230,0,BXO,2 |
|
3551,12.01.24,5,26,17,2278,HSX,10 |
|
3569,31.01.24,1,-12,189,0,AXX,1 |
|
3552,12.01.24,6,-23,83,2278,CAO,8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Daily values on
"CV" estimated from R-numbers 1610-2023 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|