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MPR |
Kjell Inge
Malde, Director/Editor |
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Web: |
http://www.cv-helios.net |
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Hunsteinstien
42A, N-4083 Hundvaag NORWAY |
Email: |
cvhelios@gmail.com |
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Volume 44 Number 12 MPR no. 509 December 2023 ISSN 2535-3780 |
CV-Helios Network |
Monthly Preliminary Report for December 2023 |
Solar Cycle 25: Month no. 49 |
Report id.: cv2312 - CV-report no.: 509 |
Memno. |
Name |
Country |
CV |
Obs |
K |
Obs. Tot. |
CV-001 |
KJELL INGE MALDE |
NORWAY |
127,1 |
17 |
1,061 |
9342 |
CV-010 |
FRANKY DUBOIS |
BELGIUM |
83,7 |
14 |
0,813 |
9729 |
CV-019 |
ELMAR JUNKER |
GERMANY |
195,0 |
5 |
1,426 |
3862 |
CV-023 |
HARTMUT
BRETSCHNEIDER |
GERMANY |
57,2 |
12 |
0,502 |
5955 |
CV-040 |
ROBERTO
BATTAIOLA |
ITALY |
133,0 |
7 |
0,992 |
2154 |
CV-068 |
SVEN OVE THIMM |
DENMARK |
70,8 |
4 |
0,561 |
4310 |
CV-077 |
ANDREW JOHNSTON |
UNITED KINGDOM |
112,5 |
4 |
0,955 |
3701 |
CV-080 |
JAN JANSSENS |
BELGIUM |
79,5 |
2 |
0,740 |
1230 |
CV-082 |
PIOTR URBANSKI |
POLAND |
89,3 |
9 |
0,835 |
5577 |
CV-086 |
TOS POLAND |
POLAND |
115,1 |
31 |
0,999 |
8783 |
CV-091 |
GRZEGORZ DALEK |
POLAND |
93,1 |
14 |
0,824 |
4802 |
CV-102 |
PAULO ROBERTO
MOSER |
BRAZIL |
97,4 |
28 |
0,837 |
3154 |
CV-105 |
ALEXEY RYBACK |
RUSSIA |
103,2 |
10 |
0,952 |
3513 |
CV-122 |
VLASTISLAV FEIK |
CZECH REPUBLIC |
73,9 |
7 |
0,742 |
3210 |
CV-135 |
GEMA ARAUJO |
SPAIN |
141,1 |
29 |
1,240 |
7587 |
CV-136 |
FAUSTINO GARCIA |
SPAIN |
82,4 |
9 |
0,678 |
4012 |
CV-139 |
JAVIER ALONSO |
SPAIN |
110,9 |
10 |
0,941 |
4176 |
CV-151 |
JEFFREY CARELS |
BELGIUM |
74,0 |
4 |
0,784 |
3279 |
CV-171 |
WALTER JOSE
MALUF |
BRAZIL |
206,7 |
26 |
1,725 |
3073 |
CV-181 |
ADAM
DERDZIKOWSKI |
POLAND |
103,6 |
5 |
1,051 |
1211 |
CV-207 |
ONDREJOV OBS.
(AI CAS) |
CZECH REPUBLIC |
104,2 |
13 |
1,064 |
3852 |
CV-208 |
JOHAN NEYS |
BELGIUM |
54,5 |
2 |
0,842 |
779 |
CV-214 |
IGOR GRAGEDA
MENDEZ |
BOLIVIA |
116,2 |
22 |
0,985 |
1366 |
CV-215 |
ARNAUD MENGUS |
FRANCE |
106,6 |
5 |
0,976 |
371 |
CV-219 |
KANDILLI
OBSERVATORY |
TURKEY |
95,1 |
17 |
0,865 |
1023 |
CV-220 |
MICHEL FRANGEUL |
FRANCE |
98,7 |
3 |
0,748 |
188 |
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Totals |
Observers |
Days |
CV |
No |
K |
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26 |
31 |
104,79 |
309 |
0,928 |
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Results |
Date |
CV |
Obsrvrs |
Regions
6 rot. |
CV-USAF
6-rot.
6 rot. |
CV-6 rot. |
CV-13 rot. |
1 |
134,40 |
10 |
7,49 |
107,37 |
113,14 |
113,79 |
2 |
122,33 |
6 |
7,46 |
107,16 |
112,66 |
113,73 |
3 |
122,80 |
10 |
7,45 |
106,96 |
112,24 |
113,66 |
4 |
144,70 |
10 |
7,41 |
106,93 |
112,15 |
113,60 |
5 |
112,63 |
8 |
7,38 |
106,96 |
111,95 |
113,45 |
6 |
137,40 |
10 |
7,35 |
106,97 |
111,96 |
113,33 |
7 |
148,33 |
9 |
7,34 |
107,13 |
112,22 |
113,26 |
8 |
114,75 |
8 |
7,33 |
107,10 |
112,22 |
113,16 |
9 |
127,67 |
6 |
7,33 |
107,11 |
112,28 |
113,16 |
10 |
108,60 |
10 |
7,34 |
107,07 |
112,42 |
113,14 |
11 |
70,40 |
15 |
7,35 |
106,93 |
112,36 |
113,04 |
12 |
88,80 |
10 |
7,34 |
106,61 |
112,35 |
113,07 |
13 |
87,75 |
8 |
7,35 |
106,25 |
112,17 |
113,10 |
14 |
117,67 |
9 |
7,36 |
106,12 |
112,00 |
113,13 |
15 |
107,44 |
9 |
7,37 |
105,93 |
111,88 |
113,10 |
16 |
107,31 |
13 |
7,40 |
106,36 |
111,94 |
113,09 |
17 |
63,43 |
14 |
7,40 |
106,32 |
111,62 |
112,96 |
18 |
108,80 |
10 |
7,40 |
106,29 |
111,40 |
112,96 |
19 |
142,27 |
11 |
7,40 |
106,23 |
111,34 |
113,00 |
20 |
159,75 |
12 |
7,38 |
105,99 |
111,26 |
113,02 |
21 |
182,43 |
7 |
7,36 |
105,42 |
110,95 |
113,05 |
22 |
174,29 |
7 |
7,35 |
104,81 |
110,55 |
113,07 |
23 |
118,00 |
9 |
7,32 |
104,21 |
110,12 |
113,01 |
24 |
148,50 |
8 |
7,32 |
104,08 |
109,96 |
113,02 |
25 |
147,15 |
13 |
7,30 |
103,72 |
109,69 |
113,11 |
26 |
112,08 |
12 |
7,31 |
103,45 |
109,45 |
113,12 |
27 |
94,15 |
13 |
7,32 |
103,21 |
109,03 |
113,03 |
28 |
106,09 |
11 |
7,30 |
102,38 |
108,53 |
112,93 |
29 |
78,58 |
12 |
7,29 |
101,70 |
107,60 |
112,80 |
30 |
66,22 |
9 |
7,26 |
100,70 |
106,99 |
112,62 |
31 |
76,90 |
10 |
7,24 |
99,66 |
105,91 |
112,54 |
Totals/ |
3,96 |
27,3 |
0,97 |
4,83 |
110,98 |
113,13 |
Avrgs |
CV and
CV observers |
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CV-13
rot. per Dec 2023 |
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Latest sunspot
regions developments |
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Reg.,1st
date,Max.dt.,Last dt.,Lat.,Long.,Rot.,Max.mvh,Class,CV |
Reg.,1st
date,Max.dt.,Last dt.,Lat.,Long.,Rot.,Max.mvh,Class,CV |
3153,01.12.22,04.12.22,14.12.22,-17,327,2265,1080,FKO,45 |
3167,13.12.22,14.12.22,20.12.22,20,241,2265,190,DAO,19 |
3155,01.12.22,04.12.22,08.12.22,22,25,2264,140,DAI,22 |
3169,16.12.22,27.12.22,29.12.22,21,117,2265,490,FKC,57 |
3156,02.12.22,03.12.22,14.12.22,25,320,2265,220,DAO,19 |
3171,19.12.22,23.12.22,30.12.22,24,97,2265,250,DKO,43 |
3157,03.12.22,10.12.22,14.12.22,16,295,2265,230,ESI,29 |
3176,26.12.22,31.12.22,06.01.23,19,9,2265,430,EKO,44 |
3158,04.12.22,05.12.22,09.12.22,24,355,2265,110,DAI,22 |
3177,28.12.22,31.12.22,08.01.23,-18,334,2266,310,DAC,31 |
3163,10.12.22,17.12.22,21.12.22,-20,215,2265,530,EKI,47 |
3507,29.11.23,06.12.23,10.12.23,8,222,2278,210,CSO,11 |
3165,11.12.22,15.12.22,17.12.22,-20,278,2265,340,EKC,56 |
3510,03.12.23,05.12.23,10.12.23,-15,217,2278,150,DAI,22 |
3166,11.12.22,19.12.22,20.12.22,-8,226,2265,180,DSO,25 |
3511,03.12.23,09.12.23,11.12.23,-22,215,2278,180,FSI,30 |
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:Product:
Weekly Highlights and Forecasts |
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Highlights of
Solar and Geomagnetic Activity |
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01 - 07 January
2024 |
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http://services.swpc.noaa.gov/text/weekly.txt |
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Solar activity
was at low to moderate levels. Moderate activity |
Sunspot regions of December 2023 |
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(R1/Minor) was
observed from Region 3536 (N06, L=151, class/area |
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Eko/250 on 03
Jan) on 01, 02 and 04 Jan. The largest of these M |
3153,01.12.22,04.12.22,14.12.22,-17,327,2265,1080,FKO,45 |
flares was an
M4.7 observed at 01/1225 UTC. This region also |
3155,01.12.22,04.12.22,08.12.22,22,25,2264,140,DAI,22 |
produced a
total of 35 C-class flares. Region 3538 (N21, L=175, |
3156,02.12.22,03.12.22,14.12.22,25,320,2265,220,DAO,19 |
class/area
Dai/070 on 05 Jan) produced a total of 17 C-class flares, |
3157,03.12.22,10.12.22,14.12.22,16,295,2265,230,ESI,29 |
the largest a
C7.1/1n at 06/1527 UTC. C-class activity was also |
3158,04.12.22,05.12.22,09.12.22,24,355,2265,110,DAI,22 |
produced by
Regions 3534 (S13, L=225, class/area Dao/150 on 30 Dec), |
3163,10.12.22,17.12.22,21.12.22,-20,215,2265,530,EKI,47 |
3535 (S05,
L=285, class/area Bxo/010 on 28 Dec), 3537 (N18, L=153, |
3165,11.12.22,15.12.22,17.12.22,-20,278,2265,340,EKC,56 |
class/area
Dsi/120 on 05 Jan) and 3540 (S18, L=095, class/area |
3166,11.12.22,19.12.22,20.12.22,-8,226,2265,180,DSO,25 |
Dki/350 on 06
Jan). |
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3167,13.12.22,14.12.22,20.12.22,20,241,2265,190,DAO,19 |
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3169,16.12.22,27.12.22,29.12.22,21,117,2265,490,FKC,57 |
Numerous CME
signatures were detected during the period, but none |
3171,19.12.22,23.12.22,30.12.22,24,97,2265,250,DKO,43 |
were determined
to have an Earth-directed component. |
3176,26.12.22,31.12.22,06.01.23,19,9,2265,430,EKO,44 |
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3177,28.12.22,31.12.22,08.01.23,-18,334,2266,310,DAC,31 |
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3507,29.11.23,06.12.23,10.12.23,8,222,2278,210,CSO,11 |
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3510,03.12.23,05.12.23,10.12.23,-15,217,2278,150,DAI,22 |
Solar activity
is expected to be low with a chance for M-class |
3511,03.12.23,09.12.23,11.12.23,-22,215,2278,180,FSI,30 |
(R1-R2/Minor-Moderate)
flares and a slight chance for X-class |
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(R3/Strong)
flares from 08-24 Jan, 26-31 Jan and 01-03 Feb. Low |
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activity is
expected on 25 Jan. |
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A slight chance
for proton events exists at geosynchronous orbit |
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through the
period. |
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Progress Solar
Cycle no. 25 |
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Graphic show CV-Int. levels
cycle 25 compared to same stage cycles 21-24 per end Dec 2023.
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Highlights
December 2023 |
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The solar
activity in December 2023 have slowly come out of pause with many regions,
though |
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the solar
activity is rising slowly and many regions have been of very modest sizes. |
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The 6 rot.
average was 105,5 CV-units by end November, |
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but the 13 rot.
average was 112,0 CV-units by last month end. |
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Report-end this
MPR 509 for December show we may still approach cycle 23, though 20% behind. |
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A total of 799
regions this cycle per end January 2024 (398 regions North and 401 regions
South). |
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At the same
time solar cycle 24 produced 617 regions .(257 north and 360 south) |
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It now seems
that prediction mix of 6 and 13 rotation averages may indicate maximum
14.08.2025 (+/- 2 rot.) |
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as a time of
maximum for the CV-I (though it may happen a bit earlier). Updates will come. |
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We reckon there
have passed 1512 days of the new cycle by this issue. |
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We may see a
continued production of smaller regions for a while |
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but within
first half year of 2024 we expect more active periods! |
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Solar Flux
onset: OCCURED 30 September 2022. Stay
tuned and observe the solar disk from now on! |
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Please remember
you are always welcome to contribute with drawings and photos! |
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Need for new
members! Do you know any amateur solar
astronomer that know or like to learn classifications? |
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Then please pass
the information about CV-Helios Network's work and contact cvhelios@gmail.com |
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Supergroups-catalogue: |
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CV-Helios
Network is currently working on a catalogue with drawings or photos |
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of the,
currently 858, sunspot regions that exceeded 1000 mvh |
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in the period of
RGO-USAF tables, that is, from 1874 to the current year. |
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Drawings or
photos will be collected from the archives of wellknown different
observatories! |
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Hopefully this
catalogue will be published 2024 or 2025!
Stay tuned! |
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Pictures from
last month - Observer contributions, etc. |
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Photo courtesy: Thanks to CV-135 Gema Araujo, Spain |
Highlights December 2023 |
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Thank you, Gema Araujo, for giving us access to
your large collection of solar images |
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Left: Photo from CV-135 Gema Araujo, Spain |
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from 21 December 2023. |
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Picture below in hmiigr from SOHO |
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