Monthly Preliminary
Report |
MPR |
Kjell Inge
Malde, Director/Editor |
|
Web: |
http://www.cv-helios.net |
|
Hunsteinstien
42A, N-4083 Hundvaag NORWAY |
Email: |
cvhelios@gmail.com |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Volume 43 Number 9 MPR no. 506 September 2023 ISSN 2535-3780 |
CV-Helios Network |
Monthly Preliminary Report for September 2023 |
Solar Cycle 25: Month no. 46 |
Report id.: cv2309 - CV-report no.: 506 |
Memno. |
Name |
Country |
CV |
Obs |
K |
Obs. Tot. |
CV-001 |
KJELL INGE
MALDE |
NORWAY |
129,3 |
17 |
1,159 |
9292 |
CV-010 |
FRANKY DUBOIS |
BELGIUM |
100,5 |
19 |
0,880 |
9681 |
CV-019 |
ELMAR JUNKER |
GERMANY |
127,2 |
11 |
1,229 |
3846 |
CV-023 |
HARTMUT
BRETSCHNEIDER |
GERMANY |
71,0 |
27 |
0,635 |
5912 |
CV-040 |
ROBERTO
BATTAIOLA |
ITALY |
110,1 |
10 |
0,948 |
2137 |
CV-077 |
ANDREW JOHNSTON |
UNITED KINGDOM |
89,8 |
12 |
0,917 |
3678 |
CV-080 |
JAN JANSSENS |
BELGIUM |
113,3 |
3 |
1,089 |
1226 |
CV-082 |
PIOTR URBANSKI |
POLAND |
112,8 |
28 |
1,029 |
5539 |
CV-086 |
TOS POLAND |
POLAND |
115,2 |
30 |
1,044 |
8696 |
CV-102 |
PAULO ROBERTO
MOSER |
BRAZIL |
104,8 |
26 |
0,949 |
3077 |
CV-105 |
ALEXEY RYBACK |
RUSSIA |
136,9 |
14 |
1,065 |
3492 |
CV-116 |
TERJE
BJERKGAARD |
NORWAY |
164,0 |
1 |
1,004 |
1035 |
CV-135 |
GEMA ARAUJO |
SPAIN |
132,6 |
30 |
1,204 |
7500 |
CV-136 |
FAUSTINO GARCIA |
SPAIN |
79,4 |
21 |
0,717 |
3982 |
CV-139 |
JAVIER ALONSO |
SPAIN |
127,9 |
15 |
1,092 |
4129 |
CV-151 |
JEFFREY CARELS |
BELGIUM |
77,4 |
16 |
0,792 |
3246 |
CV-181 |
ADAM
DERDZIKOWSKI |
POLAND |
107,5 |
26 |
1,012 |
1200 |
CV-198 |
DENIS WALLIAN |
FRANCE |
173,5 |
20 |
1,584 |
628 |
CV-204 |
STEFAN MEISTER |
SWITZERLAND |
95,7 |
18 |
0,852 |
815 |
CV-207 |
ONDREJOV OBS.
(AI CAS) |
CZECH REPUBLIC |
132,2 |
25 |
1,195 |
3808 |
CV-208 |
JOHAN NEYS |
BELGIUM |
124,0 |
8 |
1,163 |
770 |
CV-214 |
IGOR GRAGEDA
MENDEZ |
BOLIVIA |
97,9 |
29 |
0,876 |
1291 |
CV-215 |
ARNAUD MENGUS |
FRANCE |
112,2 |
5 |
1,003 |
355 |
CV-219 |
KANDILLI
OBSERVATORY |
TURKEY |
104,1 |
27 |
0,898 |
962 |
CV-220 |
MICHEL FRANGEUL |
FRANCE |
78,5 |
13 |
0,723 |
179 |
CV-222 |
MILENA NIEMCZYK |
POLAND |
116,2 |
23 |
1,115 |
72 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Totals |
Observers |
Days |
CV |
No |
K |
|
26 |
30 |
112,85 |
474 |
1,007 |
|
Results |
Date |
CV |
Obsrvrs |
Regions
6 rot. |
CV-USAF
6-rot.
6 rot. |
CV-6 rot. |
CV-13 rot. |
1 |
94,43 |
13 |
7,42 |
116,18 |
118,18 |
107,86 |
2 |
80,75 |
15 |
7,41 |
116,30 |
118,00 |
107,81 |
3 |
46,93 |
13 |
7,42 |
116,35 |
117,80 |
107,73 |
4 |
65,28 |
18 |
7,42 |
116,23 |
117,50 |
107,65 |
5 |
69,84 |
18 |
7,42 |
115,96 |
117,07 |
107,61 |
6 |
88,94 |
17 |
7,41 |
115,82 |
116,83 |
107,63 |
7 |
106,21 |
18 |
7,41 |
115,45 |
116,71 |
107,76 |
8 |
92,11 |
18 |
7,40 |
115,26 |
116,45 |
107,82 |
9 |
91,39 |
17 |
7,37 |
115,30 |
116,22 |
107,89 |
10 |
145,50 |
13 |
7,37 |
115,90 |
116,47 |
108,08 |
11 |
139,06 |
15 |
7,40 |
116,45 |
116,79 |
108,22 |
12 |
134,64 |
14 |
7,44 |
117,04 |
117,26 |
108,31 |
13 |
102,53 |
15 |
7,45 |
117,55 |
117,64 |
108,28 |
14 |
111,71 |
17 |
7,46 |
118,05 |
118,17 |
108,20 |
15 |
85,06 |
15 |
7,48 |
118,38 |
118,64 |
108,10 |
16 |
66,46 |
12 |
7,51 |
118,62 |
119,02 |
108,00 |
17 |
77,93 |
14 |
7,53 |
118,75 |
119,27 |
107,97 |
18 |
116,06 |
15 |
7,57 |
119,49 |
119,62 |
108,09 |
19 |
147,93 |
14 |
7,62 |
120,13 |
120,23 |
108,31 |
20 |
161,41 |
16 |
7,68 |
120,93 |
120,97 |
108,57 |
21 |
180,67 |
11 |
7,71 |
121,42 |
121,46 |
108,74 |
22 |
180,83 |
11 |
7,76 |
121,70 |
121,83 |
108,90 |
23 |
163,41 |
17 |
7,79 |
122,06 |
122,17 |
109,02 |
24 |
140,19 |
21 |
7,80 |
122,29 |
122,30 |
109,09 |
25 |
140,71 |
16 |
7,81 |
122,26 |
122,22 |
109,15 |
26 |
112,74 |
18 |
7,82 |
122,16 |
122,04 |
109,16 |
27 |
99,08 |
12 |
7,82 |
121,82 |
121,83 |
109,15 |
28 |
106,75 |
11 |
7,80 |
121,54 |
121,68 |
109,14 |
29 |
90,83 |
11 |
7,80 |
121,26 |
121,60 |
109,13 |
30 |
94,63 |
16 |
7,80 |
121,31 |
121,69 |
109,12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Totals/ |
3,96 |
27,3 |
0,97 |
4,83 |
119,26 |
108,35 |
Avrgs |
CV and
CV observers |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
CV-13
rot. per Sep 2023 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Latest sunspot
regions developments |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Reg.-First-Last-Lat.-Long.-Rot.-Area-Lgth.-CV-
max. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3436,17.09.23,20.09.23,21.09.23,20,195,2275,220,DAI,22 |
Region,First
date,Max.date,Last date,Lat.,Long.,Rot.,Max.mvh,Max class,Max CV |
3437,18.09.23,20.09.23,23.09.23,-18,175,2275,190,DAI,22 |
3421,03.09.23,06.09.23,11.09.23,14,343,2275,220,DAI,22 |
3443,21.09.23,23.09.23,26.09.23,28,147,2275,260,DKI,46 |
3423,04.09.23,11.09.23,15.09.23,16,282,2275,420,EKC,56 |
|
|
|
|
3425,06.09.23,08.09.23,20.09.23,23,247,2275,140,DAI,22 |
|
|
|
|
3435,16.09.23,20.09.23,29.09.23,9,105,2275,300,DKI,46 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
:Product:
Weekly Highlights and Forecasts |
|
|
|
|
Highlights of
Solar and Geomagnetic Activity |
|
|
|
|
|
02 - 08
October 2023 |
|
http://services.swpc.noaa.gov/text/weekly.txt |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Solar activity
was at low to moderate levels. Moderate levels were |
|
|
|
|
observed on 02
Oct due to an M1.9/1n (R1-Minor) flare at 02/1249 UTC |
|
|
|
|
from Region
3455 (N25, L=274, class/area=Cro/020 on 02 Oct, the |
|
|
|
|
strongest of
the period. Moderate levels were again observed on 07 |
|
|
|
|
Oct due to an
M1.7/Sb flare at 07/1806 UTC from Region 3406 (S10, |
|
|
|
|
L=232,
class/area=Dai/080 on 08 Oct). Associated with the event was |
|
|
|
|
Type II radio
sweep and a narrow, faint CME that was headed east of |
|
|
|
|
the Sun-Earth
line. The remaining 15 numbered active regions were |
|
|
|
|
either quiet
to only produced C-class (below R1-Minor) activity. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
No proton
events were observed at geosynchronous orbit. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
The greater
than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached |
|
|
|
|
high levels on
03 Oct and was moderate for the remainder of the |
|
|
|
|
reporting
period. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Solar activity
is expected to be low with a chance for moderate |
|
|
|
|
conditions
through the outlook period due to the flare potential |
|
|
|
|
from active
regions currently on the visible disk and regions that |
|
|
|
|
have produced
moderate activity that expected to return from the |
|
|
|
|
Sun's
farside. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
No proton
events are expected at geosynchronous orbit. |
|
|
|
|
Progress Solar
Cycle no. 25 |
|
|
|
|
|
The above graphic show
CV-Int. levels solar cycle 25 compared to same stage previous cycles
21-24.
|
|
Highlights
September 2023 |
|
|
|
|
|
The solar
activity is still rising though many regions have been of very modest sizes. |
|
|
However, both
CV-I 6 and 13 rotational averages have reached interesting values. |
|
|
|
The 6-rot.
averages have now superseded cycle 24, and the first time |
|
|
|
|
this happened
was on 01 May this year! |
|
|
|
|
|
Report-end this
MPR 506 for September correspond to 24th March 2002 (day 1405), |
|
|
and the 6-rot.
Average has now turned and compared to cycle 23 we are about 9 CV-units
under. |
|
When it comes
to the 6-rotation averages we are now a little below cycle 23! |
|
|
|
A total of 713
regions this cycle per end October 2023 (353 regions North and 360 regions
South). |
|
|
At the same
time solar cycle 24 produced 561 regions .(230 north and 331 south) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Region,First
date,Max.date,Last date,Lat.,Long.,Rot.,Max.mvh,Max class,Max CV |
|
|
|
3421,03.09.23,06.09.23,11.09.23,14,343,2275,220,DAI,22 |
|
|
|
|
3423,04.09.23,11.09.23,15.09.23,16,282,2275,420,EKC,56 |
|
|
|
|
3425,06.09.23,08.09.23,20.09.23,23,247,2275,140,DAI,22 |
|
|
|
|
3435,16.09.23,20.09.23,29.09.23,9,105,2275,300,DKI,46 |
|
|
|
|
3436,17.09.23,20.09.23,21.09.23,20,195,2275,220,DAI,22 |
|
|
|
|
3437,18.09.23,20.09.23,23.09.23,-18,175,2275,190,DAI,22 |
|
|
|
|
3443,21.09.23,23.09.23,26.09.23,28,147,2275,260,DKI,46 |
|
|
|
|
3445,22.09.23,25.09.23,30.09.23,-14,75,2275,220,DAI,22 |
|
|
|
|
We expect a
major upgoing of CV-I totals later on this year. |
|
|
|
|
3448,25.09.23,27.09.23,07.10.23,13,354,2276,130,HSX,10 |
|
|
|
|
3449,26.09.23,29.09.23,03.10.23,15,10,2275,120,CSI,12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
It now seems
that prediction mix of 6 and 13 rotation averages may indicate maximum
14.08.2025 (+/- 2 rot.) |
|
as a time of
maximum for the CV-I (but still, may be one rotation later). Updates will
come. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
We reckon there
have passed 1395 days (solar flux 1432 days) of the new cycle by this issue. |
|
|
We may see a
continued production of smaller regions for a while |
|
|
|
|
but by the end
of year expect more active periods! |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Solar Flux
onset: OCCURED 30 September 2022, the Onset 13 rot. ctrd. Occurred 18 Mar
2023. |
|
Stay tuned and
observe the solar disk from now on! |
|
|
|
|
Please remember
you are always welcome to contribute with drawings and photos! |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
TAKE A SURVEY: |
|
|
|
|
|
Here is a
Survey of hmiigr SOHO solar images 2022. |
|
|
|
|
https://www.cv-helios.net/helios/cv/web/2022/Video2022.mov |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pictures from
last month - Observer contributions, etc. |
|
|
|
|
|
Photo courtesy: Thanks to CV-135 Gema Araujo,
Spain |
Highlights September 2023 |
|
|
|
Thank you, Gema Araujo, for giving us access
to your large collection of solar images |
|
|
|
Left: Photo from CV-135 Gema Araujo, Spain |
|
|
|
from 21 September 2023. |
|
|
|
|
Picture below in H-alpha |
|
|
|
|