Monthly Preliminary Report
MPR
Kjell Inge Malde, Director/Editor Web: http://www.cv-helios.net  
Hunsteinstien 42A, N-4083 Hundvaag  NORWAY Email: cvhelios@gmail.com  
             
Volume 42 Number 10               MPR no. 495               October 2022               ISSN 2535-3780
CV-Helios Network
Monthly Preliminary Report for October 2022
Solar Cycle 25: Month no. 35
Report id.: cv2210 - CV-report no.: 495
Memno. Name Country CV Obs K Obs. Tot.
CV-001 KJELL INGE MALDE NORWAY 78,2 21 1,117 9062
CV-010 FRANKY DUBOIS BELGIUM 57,1 28 0,815 9426
CV-019 ELMAR JUNKER GERMANY 82,2 6 1,173 3759
CV-023 HARTMUT BRETSCHNEIDER GERMANY 54,9 23 0,784 5696
CV-040 ROBERTO BATTAIOLA ITALY 90,2 5 1,288 2067
CV-068 SVEN OVE THIMM DENMARK 53,6 18 0,765 4120
CV-077 ANDREW JOHNSTON UNITED KINGDOM 62,8 17 0,897 3526
CV-080 JAN JANSSENS BELGIUM 65,7 6 0,938 1187
CV-082 PIOTR URBANSKI POLAND 63,4 21 0,905 5337
CV-086 TOS POLAND POLAND 68,4 31 0,977 8362
CV-091 GRZEGORZ DALEK POLAND 63,4 21 0,905 4671
CV-102 PAULO ROBERTO MOSER BRAZIL 62,9 27 0,897 2783
CV-105 ALEXEY RYBACK RUSSIA 84,6 11 1,208 3336
CV-107 MONTY LEVENTHAL AUSTRALIA 26,9 7 0,383 4739
CV-122 VLASTISLAV FEIK CZECH REPUBLIC 72,0 17 1,028 3067
CV-135 GEMA ARAUJO SPAIN 73,8 31 1,054 7173
CV-136 FAUSTINO GARCIA SPAIN 57,1 15 0,815 3803
CV-139 JAVIER ALONSO SPAIN 75,2 13 1,073 3947
CV-151 JEFFREY CARELS BELGIUM 78,5 12 1,121 3119
CV-171 WALTER JOSE MALUF BRAZIL 111,4 14 1,590 2823
CV-177 HENDRIK DE BACKER BELGIUM 72,2 28 1,031 1889
CV-181 ADAM DERDZIKOWSKI POLAND 105,5 4 1,506 1086
CV-198 DENIS WALLIAN FRANCE 128,7 3 1,837 548
CV-204 STEFAN MEISTER SWITZERLAND 43,8 11 0,626 726
CV-205 TOM MANGELSDORF UNITED STATES 36,0 1 0,514 51
CV-206 TADEUSZ FIGIEL POLAND 88,3 4 1,260 329
CV-207 ONDREJOV OBS. (AI CAS) CZECH REPUBLIC 94,0 22 1,343 3646
CV-208 JOHAN NEYS BELGIUM 81,7 10 1,166 664
CV-211 EDWIN DE CEUNINCK BELGIUM 74,0 20 1,057 620
CV-213 DIRK LAURENT BELGIUM 68,3 22 0,975 457
CV-214 IGOR GRAGEDA MENDEZ BOLIVIA 64,0 30 0,913 1015
CV-215 ARNAUD MENGUS FRANCE 55,7 6 0,795 298
CV-219 KANDILLI OBSERVATORY TURKEY 69,6 25 0,994 741
CV-220 MICHEL FRANGEUL FRANCE 62,9 14 0,897 28
             
             
             
             
             
             
             
             
             
             
             
             
             
             
             
             
Totals Observers Days CV No K  
34 31 71,37 544 1,019  
Results
Date CV Obsrvrs Regions
 6 rot.
CV-USAF 6-rot.
 6 rot.
CV-6 rot. CV-13 rot.
1 98,53 19 5,09 85,10 78,42 65,23
2 103,78 18 5,10 84,77 78,25 65,43
3 120,94 18 5,11 84,70 78,11 65,69
4 122,10 20 5,11 84,46 78,03 65,95
5 122,50 12 5,11 84,29 77,79 66,21
6 109,65 20 5,11 84,60 77,70 66,52
7 108,25 20 5,11 84,66 77,59 66,81
8 110,33 18 5,11 84,79 77,34 67,10
9 103,36 22 5,10 84,94 77,25 67,32
10 97,50 18 5,09 85,38 77,43 67,55
11 82,76 17 5,09 85,82 77,67 67,73
12 81,71 17 5,10 86,24 77,94 67,89
13 75,15 13 5,09 86,65 78,18 68,00
14 30,73 15 5,10 86,72 78,15 68,00
15 16,47 15 5,10 86,35 77,88 67,92
16 38,48 21 5,09 86,09 77,62 67,82
17 43,67 15 5,10 85,88 77,48 67,76
18 27,55 22 5,11 85,57 77,21 67,61
19 27,93 15 5,10 85,18 76,91 67,48
20 20,16 19 5,09 84,74 76,66 67,34
21 21,57 14 5,10 84,65 76,60 67,25
22 34,75 16 5,10 84,55 76,53 67,22
23 21,73 15 5,10 84,27 76,27 67,19
24 48,21 14 5,08 83,71 75,95 67,27
25 53,21 24 5,08 83,03 75,60 67,33
26 55,07 15 5,07 82,85 75,35 67,42
27 76,35 17 5,05 82,65 75,16 67,56
28 70,40 20 5,04 82,21 74,74 67,69
29 84,70 20 5,03 81,98 74,51 67,83
30 54,74 19 5,01 81,58 74,12 67,86
31 50,44 16 4,99 81,23 73,84 67,88
 Totals/ 3,96 27,3 0,97 4,83 76,85 67,22
Avrgs
CV and CV observers          
 
           
CV-13 rot. per Oct 2022  
             
Latest sunspot regions developments          
Reg.-First-Last-Lat.-Long.-Rot.-Area-Lgth.-CV-
max.
 
3146-13.11.22-14.11.22-31,5-247,5-0-30-5-9  
3145-10.11.22-14.11.22-26,2-312,0-0-10-3-2  
3144-09.11.22-10.11.22--25,0-350,5-0-8-1-1  
3143-07.11.22-08.11.22--13,5-300,5-0-10-2-3  
3142-06.11.22-09.11.22-25,8-348,0-0-23-5-5  
3141-04.11.22-14.11.22-14,5-318,3-2264-436-11-42  
3140-04.11.22-14.11.22-25,7-328,4-2264-169-5-18  
3139-03.11.22-05.11.22-28,3-1,0-2263-13-2-3  
3138-01.11.22-01.11.22--39,0-67,0-2263-10-2-25  
3137-01.11.22-10.11.22-36,2-9,3-2263-18-2-5  
:Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts        
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity  
07 - 13 November 2022 http://services.swpc.noaa.gov/text/weekly.txt
   
Solar activity was at low to high levels. Low levels were observed  
on 08-10 Nov and again on 13 Nov. Moderate levels occurred on 11-12  
Nov due to M1 flare activity from Region 3141 (N14, L=318,  
class/area Eki/610 on 11 Nov). These flares were an M1/1f at 11/0714  
UTC, an M1/Sn at 11/1140 UTC, and an M1/Sf at 12/0018 UTC as well as  
a total of 41 C-flares. High levels occurred on 07 Nov (reported on  
previous weekly) due to an M5 flare from Region 3141 at 07/0011 UTC  
along with an associated Type II radio sweep and a 740 sfu Tenflare.  
Region 3141 continued to exhibit growth through 11 Nov and developed  
into a beta-gamma-delta magnetic class on 10-11 Nov before slowly  
decaying to near 270 millionths by 13 Nov. Region 3140 (N25, L=326,  
class/area Dai/230 on 13 Nov) began to exhibit growth and  
development of trailing spots beginning on 11 Nov and was  
responsible for 12 C-flares. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed  
during the reporting period.   
   
   
Solar activity is expected to be very low to low throughout the  
outlook period (14 Nov-10 Dec). There is a chance for M-class flares  
(R1-R2, Minor-Moderate) and a slight chance for X-class flares  
(R3-Strong) on 14-16 Nov and again on 28 Nov-10 Dec due to the flare  
potential of Regions 3140 and 3141.   
   
There is a slight chance for an S1 (Minor) solar radiation storm on  
Monthly graph          
The P-Index Solar Flux Nov 2021 - Nov 2022
The P-Index show the Acceleration of Solar Flux, max 6-rot. avrgs.30 Sep 2022,
telling us the Maximum is about 3 years off. P-Index same period cycle 24 on dotted line.
Highlights October 2022          
   
Solar activity has become more average and number of regions are slowly increasing.  
The CV 13-rot. ctrd. avgs. are still higher than for solar cycle 24 at the same time of progress!   
The CV-Int. 13-rot. avrgs. is now ahead with 48 percent compared to same date in cycle 24.   
A marked drop since last month. Sunspot region production at Month 35 is slowing down a bit.   
A total of 351 regions this cycle per mid Oct. 2022 (160 regions North and 191 regions South).   
At the same time solar cycle 24 produced 304 regions.  
   
SUNSPOT REGIONS EXCEEDING
100 mvh in October 2022
 
Region,First date,Max.date,Last date,Lat.,Long.,Rot.,Max.mvh,Max class,Max CV  
3112,30.09.22,06.10.22,14.10.22,22,50,2262,800,FKC,57  
3115,03.10.22,05.10.22,09.10.22,-18,97,2262,180,DAO,19  
3116,03.10.22,10.10.22,14.10.22,30,45,2262,210,DAO,19  
3119,07.10.22,10.10.22,17.10.22,28,11,2262,180,DAI,22  
3124,16.10.22,18.10.22,19.10.22,-35,328,2263,180,DSO,25  
3126,19.10.22,25.10.22,27.10.22,-10,232,2263,160,DAI,22  
3131,24.10.22,27.10.22,05.11.22,23,111,2263,190,CSO,11  
3133,25.10.22,28.10.22,31.10.22,26,94,2263,140,DAO,19  
3135,28.10.22,31.10.22,09.11.22,26,63,2263,190,EAO,20  
   
Date Strongest flare Date Strongest flare Date Strongest flare  
01.10.2022 M4.2 03.10.2022 M4.2 02.10.2022 M1.6  
04.10.2022 M1.6 05.10.2022 M1.0 07.10.2022 M1.0  
08.10.2022 M2.4 09.10.2022 M3.9 10.10.2022 M2.4  
11.10.2022 M3.9 11.10.2022 M1.5 12.10.2022 M1.3  
13.10.2022 M1.5 14.10.2022 M1.3  
   
   
We reckon there have passed 1061 days (solar flux 1098 days) of the new cycle by this issue.  
The prospects for a solar cycle much higher than no. 24 still is good!  
   
Solar Max.: Our latest and final prediction to occur late July 2025, earliest possible may be April 2025.  
Solar Flux onset: OCCURED 30 September 2022, the Onset 13 rot. ctrd. will hopefully occur during Oct. 2022.
   
Stay tuned and observe the solar disk from now on!  
Please remember you are always welcome to contribute with drawings and photos!  
   
   
Pictures from last month - Observer contributions, etc.        
      Highlights October 2022    
   
   
 
 
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
     
   
   
   
Left: Snip of CV-107 M Leventhal's diagram 03 Oct 2022  
  Right: SOHO image 05 October 2022. photo courtesy SDO/HMI NOAA gov
   
Awards this month         1
Award no.: 156 to CV-214 IGOR GRAGEDA MENDEZ date 16 October 2022 milestone 1000 CV-obs.! CONGRATULATIONS!
 
             
New members:
    Welcome to:  
 
   
   
   
   
      We are now 50 active members (last 12 mo.)
Solar Coordinates New from April 2020        
Daily list of Solar Ephemeris available at:  
Daily list of Solar Ephemeris and SDO on grid  
Here you can see Today's Po, Bo, Lo, Rotation no., RA and Dec. and adjusted SOHO-picture on grid.  
Calculating CV          
For your convenience and security, use the mif2021,   
https://www.cv-helios.net/mif2021.xlsx  
the Monthly Input Form, which you can use for all of your next reportings!  
Monitor MPR daily progress          
CV-Helios Network:  Monitor MPR progress as entries are made!  
Monitor your submissions as they are registered:  
https://cv-helios.net/helios/cv/web/mprpost.html  
The data are available fresh from about 10:00 UTC until local midnight.  
Content comprises CV-Report for latest month, CV-Report for latest month   
individual results, Extracts from NOAA on forecasts/discussion,   
Extracts from NOAA warehouse on SRS and other activity,   
Last 24 months CV-data, This month CV acc. to USAF        
Registration data          
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https://www.cv-helios.net/helios/cv/web/cvobsmonth.htm  
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