CV-Helios Network

Monthly Preliminary Report

MPR

 

Kjell Inge Malde, Director/Editor

Web:

http://www.cv-helios.net

 

 

Böreholen 20, N-4085 Hundvaag NORWAY

Email: cvhelios@gmail.com

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Volume 39 Number 8

MPR no. 457

August 2019

ISSN 2535-3780

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-Helios Network

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Monthly Preliminary Report for August 2019

 

 

 

 

 

Solar Cycle 24: Month no. 130

 

 

 

 

Report id.: cv1908 -

CV-report no.: 457

 

 

 

Memno.

Name

Country

CV

Obs

K

Obs. Tot.

 

CV-001

MALDE, KJELL INGE

NORWAY

0,1

22

1,625

8315

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-009

BRAUCKHOFF, DIETER

GERMANY

0,1

29

1,849

1083

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-010

DUBOIS, FRANKY

BELGIUM

0,1

29

1,849

8489

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-019

JUNKER, ELMAR

GERMANY

0,0

5

0,000

3354

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-020

HOLL, MANFRED

GERMANY

0,0

27

0,000

5303

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-021

BARNES, HOWARD

NEW ZEALAND

0,0

10

0,000

4233

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-022

VIERTEL, ANDREAS

GERMANY

0,0

22

0,000

5517

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-023

BRETSCHNEIDER, HART

GERMANY

0,0

25

0,000

4869

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-038

MORALES, GERMAN

BOLIVIA

0,0

31

0,000

6919

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-041

ROTHERMEL, JENS

GERMANY

0,1

10

1,788

1050

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-044

SCHRÖDER, GERD

GERMANY

0,0

12

0,000

4245

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-068

THIMM, SVEN OVE

DENMARK

0,0

9

0,000

3569

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-077

JOHNSTON, ANDREW

UNITED KINGDOM

0,1

25

1,430

2864

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-080

JANSSENS, JAN

BELGIUM

0,0

4

0,000

1009

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-082

URBANSKI, PIOTR

POLAND

0,0

27

0,000

4587

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-086

TOS-POLAND

POLAND

0,1

31

1,730

7234

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-091

DALEK, GRZEGORZ

POLAND

0,0

24

0,000

3971

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-102

MOSER, PAULO ROBERT

BRAZIL

0,0

29

0,000

2177

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-103

STEEN, OCTAAF

BELGIUM

0,1

30

1,788

5090

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-105

RYBACK, ALEXEY

RUSSIA

0,0

5

0,000

2866

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-107

LEVENTHAL, MONTY

AUSTRALIA

0,0

23

0,777

4149

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-116

BJERKGÅRD, TERJE

NORWAY

0,0

6

0,000

891

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-122

FEIK, VLASTISLAV

CZECH REPUBLIC

0,1

22

1,625

2369

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-135

ARAUJO, GEMA

SPAIN

0,1

31

1,153

6041

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-136

GARCÍA, FAUSTINO

SPAIN

0,1

19

0,941

3160

Page 1 of 8

CV-Helios Network

Volume 39 Number 8

MPR no. 457

August 2019

ISSN 2535-3780

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Memno.

Name

Country

CV

Obs

K

Obs. Tot.

CV-139

ALONSO, JAVIER

SPAIN

0,1

31

1,153

3261

CV-151

CARELS, JEFFREY

BELGIUM

0,1

28

1,916

2455

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-177

BACKER, HENDRIK DE

BELGIUM

0,1

31

1,730

1392

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-181

DERDZIKOWSKI, ADAM

POLAND

0,1

9

1,986

867

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-201

BASU, SANTANU

INDIA

0,0

17

0,000

285

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-203

DEMEULENAERE, IVO

BELGIUM

0,1

24

1,490

359

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-204

MEISTER, STEFAN

SWITZERLAND

0,1

16

2,235

250

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-205

MANGELSDORF, TOM

UNITED STATES

0,0

2

0,000

22

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-206

FIGIEL, TADEUSZ

POLAND

0,0

1

0,000

126

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-207

ONDREJOV OBS. (AI CA

CZECH REPUBLIC

0,2

22

4,063

4962

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-208

NEYS, JOHAN

BELGIUM

0,0

21

0,000

227

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-209

MORAES, CAIO CRESPO

BRAZIL

0,0

5

0,000

500

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-210

BOURGEOIS, JEAN

BELGIUM

0,0

19

0,000

378

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-211

CEUNINCK, EDWIN DE

BELGIUM

0,1

29

1,849

245

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-212

ZAPATA MORALES, ANT

SPAIN

0,0

31

0,000

141

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-213

LAURENT, DIRK

BELGIUM

0,0

20

0,000

119

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Totals

Observers

Days

CV

No

K

 

41

31

0,04

813

0,804

 

 

 

Page 2 of 8

CV-Helios Network

Volume 39 Number 8

MPR no. 457

August 2019

ISSN 2535-3780

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Results

*CV-USAF prepared via data from

 

 

Joint USDC/NOAA, SWPC/USAF

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Date

CV

Obsrvrs

*USAF-CV

std.dev.

CV-6 rot.

CV-13 rot.

1

0,00

28

0

0,00

6,88

4,76

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2

0,00

29

0

0,00

6,88

4,75

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

3

0,00

24

0

0,00

6,86

4,74

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

4

0,00

28

0

0,00

6,85

4,72

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

5

1,04

24

0

0,74

6,84

4,71

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

6

0,27

26

0

0,19

6,85

4,69

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

7

0,37

27

0

0,26

6,86

4,69

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

8

0,07

28

0

0,05

6,86

4,68

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

9

0,00

26

0

0,00

6,86

4,67

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

10

0,00

23

0

0,00

6,86

4,66

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

11

0,00

24

0

0,00

6,86

4,66

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

12

0,00

25

0

0,00

6,85

4,64

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

13

0,00

30

0

0,00

6,82

4,61

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

14

0,00

27

0

0,00

6,80

4,54

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

15

0,00

26

0

0,00

6,79

4,48

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

16

0,00

25

0

0,00

6,77

4,46

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

17

0,00

16

0

0,00

6,71

4,46

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

18

0,00

29

0

0,00

6,65

4,45

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

19

0,00

26

0

0,00

6,61

4,45

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

20

0,00

25

0

0,00

6,59

4,45

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

21

0,00

26

0

0,00

6,56

4,45

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

22

0,00

26

0

0,00

6,55

4,45

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

23

0,00

31

0

0,00

6,53

4,44

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

24

0,00

26

0

0,00

6,52

4,44

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

25

0,00

26

0

0,00

6,51

4,44

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

26

0,00

29

0

0,00

6,49

4,44

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

27

0,00

28

0

0,00

6,47

4,44

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

28

0,00

25

0

0,00

6,47

4,43

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

29

0,00

24

0

0,00

6,44

4,42

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

30

0,00

28

0

0,00

6,38

4,42

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

31

0,00

28

0

0,00

6,25

4,41

Totals/

0,06

26,2

0,10

0,05

6,46

16,13

Avrgs

 

 

 

 

 

 

Page 3 of 8

CV-Helios Network

Volume 39 Number 8

MPR no. 457

August 2019

ISSN 2535-3780

CV and CV observers

35

30

25

20

15

10

5

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

21

22

23

24

25

26

27

28

29

30

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV for August 2019 Observers in August 2019

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-13 rot. per August 2019

5

4

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

21

22

23

24

25

26

27

28

29

30

31

Page 4 of 8

CV-Helios Network

Volume 39 Number 8

MPR no. 457

August 2019

ISSN 2535-3780

Solar Region Summary for August 2019

Reg.-First day-Last day-Lat.-Lon.-Rot.-Area-Lgth.-CVtot.-class14d

2747-06.08.19-06.08.19-N06-199-2220-0-0-1,0-AXX-0-0-0-0-0-0-

---------

---------

---------

---------

---------

---------

---------

---------

---------

:Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts

:Issued: 2019 Sep 09 0301 UTC

#Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center

#Product description and SWPC contact on the Web

#https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services

#

#Weekly Highlights and Forecasts

Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 02 - 08 September 2019

Solar activity was at very low levels. Region 2748 (N14, L=205, class/area Hsx/020 on 02 Sep) was quiet and stable and decayed to plage on 03 Sep. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed.

No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at very high levels on 02-04 Sep and high levels on 05-08 Sep. Electron flux reached a maximum of 87,900 pfu at 04/1835 UTC.

Geomagnetic field activity ranged from quiet to G1 (minor) storm levels on 02 Sep due to effects from a large, recurrent, positive polarity CH HSS. From 03-06 Sep, quiet to active levels were observed as HSS effects continued. Quiet to unsettled levels were observed from 07-08 Sep. Wind speeds began the period near 750 km/s, but slowly decayed to end the period near 400 km/s.

Page 5 of 8

CV-Helios Network

Volume 39 Number 8

MPR no. 457

August 2019

ISSN 2535-3780

Image Reports

Dr Patrick S McIntosh sometime in the late 1980s wrote that he discovered there seems a significant drop in solar activity occuring about 3,5 years before minimum.

The P-Index developed by K I Malde to try and

document this, found a strong agreement.

The P-Index had its lowest score on 13-rot. averages on the first half of October 2016, which then agrees very much to a Minimum in the start

of April 2020, - next year!

August 2019's regions

August 2019 with only two tiny groups. Regions 2745 and 2747 only reached small classes BXO and AXX respectively and only stayed on disk 2 days. Latitude was close to solar equator and they both belong to

solar cycle 24.

The next solar cycle, no. 25, expected to commence from March 2020.

circled:

SOHO 20190805_

1030_hmiigr_1024 Solar disk on August 05 at 1030 UTC showing Region 2745

Awards this month

0

New member:

We are now 47 active members (last 12 mo.)

Please check out www.cv-helios.net/cvrep2.html for updates of files!

MINIMUM Cycle 24/25 is expected to occur between November 2019/May 2020. Latest: Predicted minimum April 2020. Value: Approx. 2008/2009 low values.

Page 6 of 8

CV-Helios Network

 

Volume 39 Number 8

 

 

MPR no. 457

 

 

August 2019

 

 

ISSN 2535-3780

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-I monthly and annual averages

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

300

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

250

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

200

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

150

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

100

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

50

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

08.1981

02.1983

08.1984

02.1986

08.1987

02.1989

08.1990

02.1992

08.1993

02.1995

08.1996

02.1998

08.1999

02.2001

08.2002

02.2004

08.2005

02.2007

08.2008

02.2010

08.2011

02.2013

08.2014

02.2016

08.2017

02.2019

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-I monthly averages

 

CV-I annual averages

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Solar Coordinates

Daily list of Solar Ephemeris for 2019 available at:

https://www.cv-helios.net/helio2019/

Here you can see Today's Po, Bo, Lo, Rotation no., RA and Dec. for the year 2019.

Comes with tilted Stoneyhurst-chart to use for observations!

Calculating CV

For your convenience and security, use the mif2002,

https://www.cv-helios.net/mif2002.xls

the Monthly Input Form, which you can use for all of your next reportings! Note! A new .php script is going to be launched this year,

instead of the old, outdated and unsecure .cgi that has been used for about 17 years.

Monitor MPR daily progress

CV-Helios Network: Monitor MPR progress as entries are made!

Monitor your submissions as they are registered:

https://cv-helios.net/helios/cv/web/mprpost.html

The data are available fresh from about 10:00 UTC until local midnight. Content comprises CV-Report for latest month, CV-Report for latest month individual results, Extracts from NOAA on forecasts/discussion,

Extracts from NOAA warehouse on SRS and other activity, Last 24 months CV-data, This month CV acc. to USAF

Registration data

Check if your CV-observations have been registered:

 

https://www.cv-helios.net/cgi/data/datlist.txt

for checking of Entries Summary

 

 

CONTRIBUTE WITH YOUR PHOTOS AND OTHER OF INTEREST!

We would like YOU to contribute with drawings or photos from last month

Also any other contribution that may have an interest for our observers.

Please send by email to:

cvhelios@gmail.com

Page 7 of 8

CV-Helios Network

Volume 39 Number 8

MPR no. 457

August 2019

ISSN 2535-3780

SUBMISSIONS OF CV-OBSERVATIONS

Please note: We have improved! Please note the SECURE site "https" !

Please go to: https://www.cv-helios.net/observations/index.html

Log on to:

https://www.cv-helios.net/observations/index.html

loginsolaris

passwordcvheliosobs

We now use php-scripts that are safer!

Submission before 15th of proceeding month 18:00 UTC.

MPR issue 15th of month 2000 UTC. Good luck CV-observing!

Per August 2019: Registration time average last 40 entries: 15 hours 33 minutes

CV-Helios Network

- over 36 years in solar amateur astronomy service!

There are now 11197 entries registered containing 178682 CV-observations!

This MPR issued 15th September 2019

CV-Helios Network

Director/Coordinator: Kjell Inge Malde

Phone: +47 98 69 28 56

cvhelios@gmail.com

https://www.cv-helios.net

(NOTE! from Dec 2018 a SECURE site)

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

Worldwide Amateur Solar Observing Network

Magnetic Sunspot Classifications Zürich/McIntosh system CV - Classification Values (Malde/1981) - numeric system Serving Amateur Solar Astronomy since 1981

Editorial close: 15.09.2019 18:16 UTC

Page 8 of 8