CV-Helios Network

Monthly Preliminary Report

MPR

 

Kjell Inge Malde, Director/Editor

Web:

http://www.cv-helios.net

 

 

Böreholen 20, N-4085 Hundvaag NORWAY

Email: cvhelios@gmail.com

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Volume 39 Number 6

MPR no. 455

June 2019

ISSN 2535-3780

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-Helios Network

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Monthly Preliminary Report for June 2019

 

 

 

 

 

Solar Cycle 24: Month no. 128

 

 

 

 

Report id.: cv1906.xls

- CV-report no.: 455

 

 

 

Memno.

Name

Country

CV

Obs

K

Obs. Tot.

 

CV-001

MALDE, KJELL INGE

NORWAY

0,2

24

0,906

8273

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-009

BRAUCKHOFF, DIETER

GERMANY

0,5

30

2,899

1025

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-010

DUBOIS, FRANKY

BELGIUM

0,2

30

0,906

8432

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-019

JUNKER, ELMAR

GERMANY

0,1

14

0,776

3343

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-020

HOLL, MANFRED

GERMANY

0,1

27

0,604

5262

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-021

BARNES, HOWARD

NEW ZEALAND

0,0

16

0,000

4208

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-023

BRETSCHNEIDER, HART

GERMANY

0,2

23

0,945

4819

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-038

MORALES, GERMAN

BOLIVIA

0,5

29

2,811

6862

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-040

BATTAIOLA, ROBERTO

ITALY

0,0

8

0,000

1757

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-041

ROTHERMEL, JENS

GERMANY

0,4

12

2,265

1030

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-044

SCHRÖDER, GERD

GERMANY

0,0

26

0,000

4213

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-068

THIMM, SVEN OVE

DENMARK

0,0

15

0,000

3552

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-077

JOHNSTON, ANDREW

UNITED KINGDOM

0,0

16

0,000

2822

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-080

JANSSENS, JAN

BELGIUM

0,0

3

0,000

1001

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-082

URBANSKI, PIOTR

POLAND

0,2

30

1,268

4531

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-086

TOS-POLAND

POLAND

0,3

30

1,631

7172

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-091

DALEK, GRZEGORZ

POLAND

0,2

28

0,971

3931

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-103

STEEN, OCTAAF

BELGIUM

0,2

30

1,087

5030

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-105

RYBACK, ALEXEY

RUSSIA

0,3

16

1,359

2848

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-107

LEVENTHAL, MONTY

AUSTRALIA

0,2

19

0,858

4105

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-116

BJERKGÅRD, TERJE

NORWAY

1,0

4

5,435

881

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-122

FEIK, VLASTISLAV

CZECH REPUBLIC

0,4

29

2,249

2322

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-135

ARAUJO, GEMA

SPAIN

0,3

30

1,631

5979

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-136

GARCÍA, FAUSTINO

SPAIN

0,0

19

0,000

3120

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-139

ALONSO, JAVIER

SPAIN

0,0

15

0,000

3212

Page 1 of 8

CV-Helios Network

Volume 39 Number 6

MPR no. 455

June 2019

 

ISSN 2535-3780

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Memno.

Name

Country

CV

 

Obs

K

Obs. Tot.

CV-151

CARELS, JEFFREY

BELGIUM

0,2

 

27

1,208

2404

CV-171

MALUF, WALTER JOSE

BRAZIL

0,0

 

23

0,000

1952

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-177

BACKER, HENDRIK DE

BELGIUM

0,1

 

30

0,544

1332

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-181

DERDZIKOWSKI, ADAM

POLAND

0,1

 

18

0,604

851

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-201

BASU, SANTANU

INDIA

0,0

 

26

0,000

249

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-202

ZAMORA, JORDI

SPAIN

0,1

 

26

0,627

797

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-203

DEMEULENAERE, IVO

BELGIUM

0,2

 

25

1,304

314

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-204

MEISTER, STEFAN

SWITZERLAND

0,2

 

21

1,294

216

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-205

MANGELSDORF, TOM

UNITED STATES

0,0

 

3

0,000

20

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-206

FIGIEL, TADEUSZ

POLAND

0,0

 

4

0,000

125

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-207

ONDREJOV OBSERVATO

CZECH REPUBLIC

0,2

 

23

0,945

4918

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-208

NEYS, JOHAN

BELGIUM

0,1

 

22

0,494

194

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-209

MORAES, CAIO CRESPO

BRAZIL

0,0

 

7

0,000

488

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-210

BOURGEOIS, JEAN

BELGIUM

0,1

 

21

0,776

338

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-212

ZAPATA MORALES, ANT

SPAIN

0,0

 

30

0,000

79

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-213

LAURENT, DIRK

BELGIUM

0,1

 

26

0,418

73

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Totals

Observers

Days

CV

No

K

 

41

30

0,17

 

855

0,898

 

 

 

 

Page 2 of 8

CV-Helios Network

 

Volume 39 Number 6

MPR no. 455

June 2019

ISSN 2535-3780

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Results

*CV-USAF prepared via data from

 

 

 

Joint USDC/NOAA, SWPC/USAF

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Date

 

CV

Obsrvrs

*USAF-CV

std.dev.

CV-6 rot.

CV-13 rot.

1

 

0,00

32

0

0,00

8,89

5,72

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2

 

0,00

28

0

0,00

8,86

5,70

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

3

 

0,00

26

0

0,00

8,81

5,69

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

4

 

0,00

28

0

0,00

8,79

5,67

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

5

 

0,00

24

0

0,00

8,75

5,67

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

6

 

0,04

24

0

0,03

8,72

5,66

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

7

 

0,17

24

0

0,12

8,70

5,64

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

8

 

0,00

24

0

0,00

8,68

5,58

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

9

 

0,00

29

0

0,00

8,65

5,43

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

10

 

0,00

27

0

0,00

8,62

5,20

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

11

 

0,00

29

0

0,00

8,58

4,99

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

12

 

0,00

24

0

0,00

8,56

4,84

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

13

 

0,00

28

0

0,00

8,51

4,77

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

14

 

0,00

28

0

0,00

8,45

4,73

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

15

 

0,00

28

0

0,00

8,37

4,71

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

16

 

0,00

28

0

0,00

8,26

4,71

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

17

 

0,00

29

0

0,00

8,19

4,71

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

18

 

0,00

31

0

0,00

8,13

4,71

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

19

 

0,00

27

0

0,00

8,09

4,71

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

20

 

0,04

26

0

0,03

8,06

4,72

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

21

 

0,00

32

0

0,00

8,02

4,72

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

22

 

0,00

25

0

0,00

7,99

4,72

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

23

 

0,45

29

1

0,39

7,96

4,72

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

24

 

1,31

32

1

0,22

7,93

4,73

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

25

 

1,60

30

0

1,13

7,89

4,73

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

26

 

0,52

33

0

0,36

7,84

4,73

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

27

 

0,12

33

0

0,09

7,82

4,73

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

28

 

0,13

32

0

0,09

7,77

4,72

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

29

 

0,31

32

0

0,22

7,74

4,72

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

30

 

0,15

33

0

0,11

7,70

4,71

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Totals/

 

0,16

28,5

0,16

0,09

6,46

16,13

Avrgs

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Page 3 of 8

CV-Helios Network

Volume 39 Number 6

MPR no. 455

June 2019

ISSN 2535-3780

CV and CV observers

35

30

25

20

15

10

5

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

21

22

23

24

25

26

27

28

29

30

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV for June 2019 Observers in June 2019

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CV-13 rot. per June 2019

7

6

5

4

3

2

1

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

21

22

23

24

25

26

27

28

29

30

31

Page 4 of 8

CV-Helios Network

Volume 39 Number 6

MPR no. 455

June 2019

ISSN 2535-3780

Solar Region Summary for June 2019

Reg.-First day-Last day-Lat.-Lon.-Rot.-Area-Lgth.-CVtot.-class14d

2742-23.06.19-23.06.19-N04-92-2218-10-1-1,0-AXX

2743-24.06.19-24.06.19-N03-111-2218-10-2-1,0-AXX-AXX-AXX-AXX

---------

---------

---------

---------

---------

---------

---------

---------

:Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts

:Issued: 2019 Jul 15 0223 UTC

#Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center

#Product description and SWPC contact on the Web

#https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services

#

#Weekly Highlights and Forecasts

Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 08 - 14 July 2019

Solar activity was at very low levels throughout the reporting period. Region 2744 (S27, Lo=209, class/area=Bxo/020 on 07 Jul) decayed to played by 08 Jul. A coronal dimming was observed in SDO/AIA 193 beginning around 14/0030 UTC from near the vicinity of old Region 2744 (S27W46). A subsequent CME signature associated with the event was observed in SOHO/LASCO C2 imagery beginning at 14//0236 UTC. The slow-moving, narrow and faint signature from the SW limb was modeled and the resulting WSA-Enlil output suggested no Earth-directed component was present.

No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at normal background levels on 08-09 Jul. An increase to moderate to high levels, in response to activity from a negative polarity CH HSS, was observed on 10 Jul and persisted through 14 Jul.

Page 5 of 8

CV-Helios Network

Volume 39 Number 6

MPR no. 455

June 2019

ISSN 2535-3780

Image Reports

July 02 Total Solar Eclipse

CV-038 and many of his friends

went to Chile to see this spectacular eclipse. A few of these pictures are featured here.

June 2019's regions

In June 2019 we had only two tiny groups. Regions 2742 and 2743 only reached class AXX and only stayed on disk for

1 and 4 days respectively.

You can find the access link through facebook:

https://www.facebook.com/AstronomiaSigmaOctante/posts/2138457856265545

Or direct to our web pages:

http://www.astronomia.org.bo/astro/256-MemoriasEclipseTotalSol.pdf

Awards this month

2

CV-009 BRAUCKHOFF, DIETER: 1000 CV-obs. on 05.06.2019

CV-080 JANSSENS, JAN: 1000 CV-obs. on 23.06.2019

Congratulations!

New member:

We are now 47 active members (last 12 mo.)

Please check out www.cv-helios.net/cvrep2.html for updates of files!

MINIMUM Cycle 24/25 is expected to occur between November 2019/May 2020. Latest: Predicted minimum April 2020. Value: Approx. 2008/2009 low values.

Page 6 of 8

CV-Helios Network

Volume 39 Number 6

MPR no. 455

June 2019

ISSN 2535-3780

End of solar cycle 24 and predictions for solar cycle 25

140Predictions CV-I from July 2019 until August 2026. Minimum predicted end March 2020. CV-I: 1,2-2,5.

120Maximum predicted mid November 2025 at CV-I: 115,4. Expected maximum is just under 5% lower than for cy. 24.

100

80

60

40

20

-

01.2018

03.2018

06.2018

08.2018

11.2018

01.2019

04.2019

07.2019

09.2019

12.2019

03.2020

05.2020

08.2020

10.2020

01.2021

03.2021

06.2021

09.2021

11.2021

02.2022

04.2022

07.2022

10.2022

12.2022

03.2023

05.2023

08.2023

11.2023

01.2024

04.2024

06.2024

09.2024

12.2024

02.2025

05.2025

07.2025

10.2025

01.2026

03.2026

06.2026

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Actual

 

 

Predicted

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Solar Coordinates

Daily list of Solar Ephemeris for 2019 available at:

https://www.cv-helios.net/helio2019/

Here you can see Today's Po, Bo, Lo, Rotation no., RA and Dec. for the year 2019.

Comes with tilted Stoneyhurst-chart to use for observations!

Calculating CV

For your convenience and security, use the mif2002,

https://www.cv-helios.net/mif2002.xls

the Monthly Input Form, which you can use for all of your next reportings! Note! A new .php script is going to be launched this year,

instead of the old, outdated and unsecure .cgi that has been used for about 17 years.

Monitor MPR daily progress

CV-Helios Network: Monitor MPR progress as entries are made!

Monitor your submissions as they are registered:

https://cv-helios.net/helios/cv/web/mprpost.html

The data are available fresh from about 10:00 UTC until local midnight. Content comprises CV-Report for latest month, CV-Report for latest month individual results, Extracts from NOAA on forecasts/discussion,

Extracts from NOAA warehouse on SRS and other activity, Last 24 months CV-data, This month CV acc. to USAF

Registration data

Check if your CV-observations have been registered:

 

https://www.cv-helios.net/cgi/data/datlist.txt

for checking of Entries Summary

 

 

CONTRIBUTE WITH YOUR PHOTOS AND OTHER OF INTEREST!

We would like YOU to contribute with drawings or photos from last month

Also any other contribution that may have an interest for our observers.

Please send by email to:

cvhelios@gmail.com

Page 7 of 8

CV-Helios Network

Volume 39 Number 6

MPR no. 455

June 2019

ISSN 2535-3780

SUBMISSIONS OF CV-OBSERVATIONS

Please note: We have improved! Please note the SECURE site "https" !

Please go to: https://www.cv-helios.net/observations/index.html

Log on to:

https://www.cv-helios.net/observations/index.html

loginsolaris

passwordcvheliosobs

We now use php-scripts that are safer!

Submission before 15th of proceeding month 18:00 UTC.

MPR issue 15th of month 2000 UTC. Good luck CV-observing!

Per June 2019: Registration time average last 40 entries: 13 hours 48 minutes

CV-Helios Network

- over 36 years in solar amateur astronomy service!

There are now 11114 entries registered containing 177084 CV-observations!

This MPR issued 15th July 2019

CV-Helios Network

Director/Coordinator: Kjell Inge Malde

Phone: +47 98 69 28 56

cvhelios@gmail.com

https://www.cv-helios.net

(NOTE! from Dec 2018 a SECURE site)

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

Worldwide Amateur Solar Observing Network

Magnetic Sunspot Classifications Zürich/McIntosh system CV - Classification Values (Malde/1981) - numeric system Serving Amateur Solar Astronomy since 1981

Editorial close: 16.07.2019 08:43 UTC

Page 8 of 8